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The Stock Market Dropped Today, Here is Why

Wednesday, February 6th, 2008

Today the Down Jones Closed down a significant 370 points (almost 3%).  The question is why?  The answer, The Institute for Supply Management’s January report on the service sector, which accounts for about two-thirds of the economy, said the service side of the U.S. economy dropped sharply . The index dropped to 44.6 last month from a revised reading of 54.4 in December.  This the lowest number since 2001.

So what the heck is the real meaning of this?  The simple way of putting this is the U.S. economy is in a definite decline on the “service” side of the economy.   This is bad because so much of our economy (66%) is service based.

So what’s next?  It’s possible the services side of the economy could rebound some in February, like the manufacturing side did in January after its’ own slide in December.   The benefit of the Federal Reserve’s two big interest rate cuts in the latter part of January could also help spur the service sector back into growth mode later this year.

The key to understand here is this is another shot across the bow of the coming war that is a imminent recession that sooner of late will happen.  My advice yet again is to make sure you are not fully exposed in stocks right now.  We had a few good years but a slide is coming have a heart to heart with your advisers and put some of your investments into something safer for the next few years.

Beat your traffic ticket with TicketBust

Tuesday, February 5th, 2008

Look I am not for driving like a maniac or speeding in school zones but I also really feel that most traffic tickets are nothing but another revenue source for our bloated government. As my blog is about keeping money in your pockets rather then putting it into bad investments (is their a worse investment right now then our Government?) when I was asked to look at a new website called, Ticket Bust , that shows you how to fight a speeding ticket I was happy to do it.

Unfortunately these guys seem to only be available in California but if you live there I would have a look at their website.  They are so confident that they can help you they offer a money back guarantee and that is one of the reasons they make my list of recommend sites.   The reality is traffic tickets are one of the legal issues most of us have to deal with sooner or later (I have had to), so I am glad their are companies out there like this to help consumers.

So please comment below, have you ever used a service like this to handle a ticket?  How did it work?  Have you ever beaten or gotten a ticket reduced on your own?  If so how?

Cover your ass——ets

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

I talk a lot on this blog about things like saving, investing and making money. I encourage people of every walk of life to spurn consumer debt and build wealth so they can live good even when times are bad. I want to shift gears a bit today though and talk a bit about how to protect your hard earned wealth.

I just got done reading a new book called Asset Protection 101 from Donald Trump’s Trump university and I have to say I learned a lot of new ways to protect the wealth I and my family have worked so hard for. In fact basically I just learned how to be a millionaire in reality and at the same time appear penniless on paper.

Of course I got wealthy in the first place by being a bit of a tight wad and knowing how to spot a good deal. So check out this deal from Trump University, buy a copy of Asset Protection 101 today and you also will get the following bonuses

  • 3 J.J. Childers E-Books-valued at $19.95 each, these 3 e-books provide you with even more information about protecting your wealth, saving on taxes, and enjoying a stress-free retirement.
  • 5 Special Reports-over 100 pages of extra material to help you build your wealth structure (worth $150!).
  • The Top 50 Most Overlooked Tax Deductions-this gift alone could save you thousands of dollars when April comes around again!
  • J.J.’s Asset Protection Worksheet-the master’s tool to show you where you may be vulnerable to lawsuits and how you can minimize your tax burden.
  • Asset Video - addressing specific asset protection issues, which you can view on your computer
  • 20% off the registration fee for Trump University’s Wealth Preservation: Asset Protection Retreat featuring instructor J.J. Childers.

There is also an awesome 1 hour free teleseminar. Now for a 20 dollar book those are some great bonuses. I don’t normally tell my readers to go spend money but in this case it will be a Andrew Jackson that is well used. For more information visit the Trump University Site for the special offer on Asset Protection 101.


Another prime rate cut is comming

Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

Well if you did not start a refinancing process when I suggested it before you may want to hold a few more days for a bit lower of a rate. Everyone is expecting yet another slashing of the prime rate after the Fed’s meeting at the end of this month. I don’t predict another big cut and while the media is using the term “slash” I think we will see perhaps another 1/8th - 1/4th. That won’t mean a ton more then the last cut already meant but it will make a difference to some who are on the “edge” of making mortgage refinancing a good decision.

To me the real opportunity here is for real estate investing. Loans are lower then any time in history and houses are sitting by the butt load. Right now is a great time to find an incredible deal on investment property. It is however not a time to be stupid and go into highly leveraged deals. What you are looking for right now is a property at 10-20% under even the current depressed value, a property that you can afford to have for a year to 18 months with out a tenant and still have no financial grief.

This is a big part of why the rich always get richer. If you are in good shape money wise right now and can afford 1-3 small properties in this fashion you stand to make very big investing returns in the next 5 years. If however, you are dead broke or swimming in debt you just have to sit back and watch all these great deals sit. This is a very bad time to be in the property flipping business. With the massive inventory out there, suppressed market and probably a 2 year recession ahead it is a great time to be buying the best deals you can find and afford, holding on to them and renting them as you can.

This is exactly why I always say the reason to build wealth in many ways is to live good in bad times.

So you’re getting 300 to 600 dollars in a tax rebate check

Friday, January 25th, 2008

A few days ago I posted my thoughts about the proposed “economic stimulus” where the government will be giving back about 300 dollars per tax payer in a retroactive tax cut from 2007’s tax year. You can read my thoughts about this tax rebate here. In short though I believe income tax is theft and I am for any and all cutting of income tax for anyone from the poorest to the most wealthy. On the other side though I think this rebate is bad for the country because there will be NO SPENDING CUTS on anything to fund it. All we are doing is going deeper in debt. Again read my full post on this to understand this better.

What I wanted to ask though today is what will you do with your 300-600 dollars in rebates?

Since I posted that orginal post I have been getting many visitors each day finding my blog from Google, they are all searching for things like

  • “when do we get our tax rebates”
  • “government giving out rebate checks”
  • “will we get stimulate the economy checks?”
  • “when will we get our government rebate checks”
  • “800 dollar rebate checks government”
  • and you have to love this one “government giving 300 dollars to everyone

Now I am not here to criticize anyone but my guess is most of the people doing these searches are just itching to get that “free money” and blow it. Indeed that is “the plan”, yes indeed Uncle Scam (not a misspelling) wants you to spend every dime on consumer goods to “stimulate the economy”. The theory is more spending is good because more money is in circulation.

So please comment below after you read this post and tell me what you plan to do with your money. As many may suspect mine will be invested and many in the government want to not give the money to people like me that will save it. No they want “good Americans” to spend the money and “put it to work”.

So what are you doing with your refund?

  • Taking a vacation
  • Just blowing it
  • Saving it
  • Paying on debt
  • Investing it
  • Not sure yet?

Let us know because it is interesting what happens when you really ask yourself what you will do with extra money. Perhaps just perhaps thinking about this may make a few more of us think about saving this refund for a really rainy day. Trust me if you remember 1978 times are really not that bad right now.

Keep in mind this is not some government “entitlement” this is indeed your money, your tax dollars that you paid being returned to you. To do so your government has grow our debt by BILLIONS more. Again I am 100% for any rebate, any tax cut, any tax abolishment. Just realize that our elected officials did not think about how to fund this thing, they are just buying your votes from you with your own money and charging it along with interest to your children.

So knowing that how will you be spending your money, remember it is indeed yours it is not a gift from our exalted officials.

Why cutting interest rates is bad for the economy

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008

Today I installed the contact form plugin for the WordPress blog platform. This is a great plugin that I recommend for anyone using WordPress; any way in just a few moments after adding my contact page, I got my first question. Here it is along with my answer,

“CostCutter, I have seen you do two posts recently stating how great low interest rates are and how anyone looking to refinance or buy is really lucky that rates are so low. I have also seen a lot of people on the T.V. saying that these rate cuts are actually bad. So which is it and why do these guys say low rates are so bad and you say they are so good.”

That is a great question but it assumes that I disagree with the folks saying these rate cuts are bad, actually I agree with them. My posts about low interest rates from today and the coming interest rate cut yesterday do seem to be positive on the rate cuts and they are but only on one dimension. What I am saying is if you need to refinance are are looking to buy a home then the low rates are very good for you as an individual. Therefore you should take advantage of them.

On the other side I actually think that long term these artificial rate cuts are just bad news for the economy. The reality is we have real problems in this nation that sooner or later have to come out. Things like rate cuts and tax cuts with no corresponding spending cuts only delay the eventual recession and every time we delay it we are just making the eventual market correction worse. No one in the government believes they can stop the recession, they just want to soften the landing but my belief and the belief of most economists is they are actually going to make it a much harder landing.

What you have to understand is why cutting interest rates “works” in the first place. The US economy is driven by spending, when spending slows then everything goes down. There are less jobs, less money in the system, less everything. When interest rates are low spending increases because it costs less money to borrow money so you can buy a bigger house, a bigger car, get a better rate on your credit card etc. These cuts cuts in “the prime rate” or how much the government charges your bank to borrow money. The bank of course is not in business for fun they add to the rate and loan money to you so lower prime rate equals lower rates for everyone and in theory more spending.

The problem is this theory only works long term if people are responsible with debt and it won’t help people who are already in the hole. If you are four payments behind on your home you can’t get a refinance loan no matter how low rates go. If you are paying 29% on your credit card your credit sucks and no one is going to give you a low interest one. Our country is in trouble because to many people spent money they can’t pay back and our government has done the same. When we artificially cut rates we simply put more people into more debt. In other words the country goes deeper into the hole and when at some point we are required to crawl out it will be more not less painful.

If this explanation seems oversimplified it isn’t.   In fact I will make it more simple. If your family is in debt and about to go broke and you take your debt of say 200,000 dollars and refinance it to a lower interest rate to reduce your payments it makes the situation better at first. If however, you then grow your debt back to the original payments you could not make then you are in more not less trouble. When our government puts out these low rates and increases personal and business debt in an economy where people are already in the hole it is the same exact thing.

In short I am glad for the responsible consumer that rates are low, I certainly did not want rates risen to higher levels but the reason behind this cut is nothing but a delay that is going to make what is bad already, worse.

Another financial advice website to check out

Monday, January 21st, 2008

I was just asked to review a web site called Finance Genius. I have to tell you I like what I saw. Basically the site is an information portal that helps consumers with a combination of advice and what amounts to a brokerage approach in connecting consumer to different options for things like insurance, mortgages, student loans and Auto Warranty services.  With automotive warranties in particular I always advise people to shop outside sources, the extended warranties offered by dealerships tend to be over priced and then simply lumped into your loan so you get to pay interest on it.  My additional advice is wait until your included warranty is almost up before paying for an extended on.  Why pay for a warranty you may not use?

Like any site that is recommending various financial products my advice is to shop what they have and compare it to other options.  Always make sure you find the best deal you can but Financial Genius certainly looks like one of the good guys so if you are in the market for any of their services have a look around their site and see what they have to offer.   Remember my view is debt is bad but when it is necessary get the best deal, with the best terms you can find.  Sites like this one are good tools for finding those types of deals.

Now is the time to refinance your mortgage

Monday, January 21st, 2008

Let me be clear that I think the continued suppression of interest rates by The Fed is a mistake.    All I believe is going to happen is more delay to the recession/depression we have to go through and right now delay simply means when it fully hits it will be worse due to the delay.

That doesn’t mean you can’t be smart and benefit from this.  If your interest rate is more then 3/4s of a point then current rates odds are in about a week or so you will get the chance to shave a point or more off it.  The Fed seems committed to yet another cut either in the next few days or at the end of the money the next time they meet.   I have the following advice for people in different categories.

1.  If your rate is above 6 percent odds are you can cut your payment a significant amount with a refinance in the next few weeks.  If you have the credit to qualify and if it saves you money, do it.

2.  If you have decent equity in your home 30-60K or more and if you owe 10-20k in consumer debt and if your rate is at, near or above 6 percent you may have the opportunity to refinance, pay off your debt and pay LESS or very little more each month on your house payment.  If so and if you are willing to cut up the credit cards you pay off, do it and do it now.

3.  If you were a dumb ass and got into a sub prime or adjustable loan see what you can do to get a conventional 30 year FIXED rate loan now.  There probably will not be a better time for a while.  As soon as even a hint of rebound in home sales come these rates will not be held so low any longer.

I am not a massive fan of cash out refinance for paying off other debts.  Many times this is something that gets abused.  If you plan to take this approach again it is necessary to make sure you get rid of that credit card that got you in the hole in the first place.  Yet there is no question that debt on housing is better then debt on credit cards.  I honestly believe for the home owner with equity, good credit and some unsecured debt this may be the best opportunity in a long time to consolidate bad debt into not so bad debt.  If you do it, look at it like a “stay of execution” and commit yourself to a renewed quest toward financial freedom.