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Now is the time to refinance your mortgage

Monday, January 21st, 2008

Let me be clear that I think the continued suppression of interest rates by The Fed is a mistake.    All I believe is going to happen is more delay to the recession/depression we have to go through and right now delay simply means when it fully hits it will be worse due to the delay.

That doesn’t mean you can’t be smart and benefit from this.  If your interest rate is more then 3/4s of a point then current rates odds are in about a week or so you will get the chance to shave a point or more off it.  The Fed seems committed to yet another cut either in the next few days or at the end of the money the next time they meet.   I have the following advice for people in different categories.

1.  If your rate is above 6 percent odds are you can cut your payment a significant amount with a refinance in the next few weeks.  If you have the credit to qualify and if it saves you money, do it.

2.  If you have decent equity in your home 30-60K or more and if you owe 10-20k in consumer debt and if your rate is at, near or above 6 percent you may have the opportunity to refinance, pay off your debt and pay LESS or very little more each month on your house payment.  If so and if you are willing to cut up the credit cards you pay off, do it and do it now.

3.  If you were a dumb ass and got into a sub prime or adjustable loan see what you can do to get a conventional 30 year FIXED rate loan now.  There probably will not be a better time for a while.  As soon as even a hint of rebound in home sales come these rates will not be held so low any longer.

I am not a massive fan of cash out refinance for paying off other debts.  Many times this is something that gets abused.  If you plan to take this approach again it is necessary to make sure you get rid of that credit card that got you in the hole in the first place.  Yet there is no question that debt on housing is better then debt on credit cards.  I honestly believe for the home owner with equity, good credit and some unsecured debt this may be the best opportunity in a long time to consolidate bad debt into not so bad debt.  If you do it, look at it like a “stay of execution” and commit yourself to a renewed quest toward financial freedom.

Tax rebate checks may be on the way

Friday, January 18th, 2008

In an effort to stimulate the economy the congress and the president are working to provide an economic stimulus package. One big part will be sending most tax payers some of their tax money back, to the tune of from 300-800 dollars per taxpayer may be even as high as 1600 per household. You can read an article by newsday.com to get more specifics about it.

In any event I have mixed emotions about this. As a Libertarian I believe that all income tax is theft in the first place and I really can’t argue with the government giving back money they should have never taken in the first place. However, in this instance while not totally opposed (I just can’t oppose less tax no matter how it comes) I have sever very big concerns/issues with this plan.

  • Right now everyone is worried about the 2008 election. So even Mr. and Mrs. raise taxes (Barak and Hillary) are behind this massive retroactive tax rebate. Make no mistake this is buying votes by both sides of the isle.
  • True conservatives are always saying lower taxes are good for the economy and liberals always say that is wrong. Yet now that we are in deep shit everyone agrees cutting taxes makes the economy better? All this means is they all know all the time that low taxes are good and simply keep up the graduated income tax as a way to distract us all with “class warfare”.
  • In most instances I don’t see cutting taxes as “spending” yet in this case it is pure reckless spending. Why? How? Simple, no one in congress is talking about cutting any expenditures to fund this rebate. In other words they are still going to spend all the money they were going to spend and GET THIS our country is OUT OF MONEY. So where will we get the billions to fund this rebate? Well the fed will fire up the presses and just print more money at least symbolically. Honestly though our government will borrow it from foreign governments and increase out debt. In other words you kids get to pay back you debt on your 800 bucks with interest and will have to do so with a dollar that is weaker in the world market every day.
  • This package is a very short term fix. The whole theory is most people will “blow” their money and dump it in the economy and that will beef up spending for a bit and put more money into the economy and the rising tide will then float all boats. The theory is sound most people will blow it (instead of saving or paying on debt) and it will make it “better” but our “boat” has big holes in it. Make sense? This move won’t reduce US debt, reduce toxic consumer debt, fix the housing market or reduce our massive spending deficit.

So how could this plan actually work? You only have to change the spending equation on the side of the government to make it work very well. Check this way out,

  1. Require the government to give back at least the money they plan to right now.
  2. Require that they also cut 2 dollars in spending for every dollar returned to tax payers

That’s it! That would “stimulate the economy”! Our nation is not in trouble because our people spend to little, it is in trouble because the government takes too much of our money and then spends far more then even what they steal from us. Fix that problem, yes cut taxes but cut spending by 2 dollars for every dollar you refund to us.

Help your children save for college

Sunday, October 14th, 2007

collegeOK I have to give credit for this idea to my Brother-In-Law (we will call him Mark).  I took a different approach to saving for college for my son.  In our case simply set up a 529 plan for our son, made contributions as part of our financial plan and he is now in college and can do four years (including housing) as a state college with no debt and almost on out of pocket expense.  While this seems wonderful a bit of it is already biting us in the rear.  Our boy just doesn’t seem to realize how lucky that makes him.  I am glad we did it but what I am about to lay out for you is a much better solution at least to a degree.

What Mark has been doing since both children were born is both simple, cost free and may I say genius.

Every kid has birthdays, Christmases, Easters and many other times that relatives, friends etc send them cards and gifts and very often money.  Mark has required that 50% of his two children’s financial gifts (no matter how small or large) go into savings accounts to be used for college.   He choose very safe investments and did not elect to use a 529 due to its restrictions.

What does this mean to his kids?  Upon Graduation both will have over 20,000 dollars in funding toward schooling or life in general if they choose not to go to conventional college.   I should point out that this is not a family the gets huge amounts of money for each event, we are talking 20 bucks here, 5 bucks there, may be 50-100 for a Christmas that goes into these funds.  Mark requires his kids to save this money no matter the source.  If they come over to my house and I give them a ten a piece for spending money, Dad puts 5 bucks a piece away, just like clockwork.  The fact that 18-20 years is a very long time for money to grow, takes care of the rest.

Some of the family thinks this is “taking away the fun of just being a kid”, most of our family is BROKE by the way!  Taking advice from the broke is a good way to not only be broke but build generations of kids and grandkids that are broke too.  Mark wisely has ignored this and I think when his kiddos go to college or start a business or do what ever with their money as adults they will put more value on the funds.

Now we did teach our son to save, we helped him invest in stocks, set up accounts and always made him put some money away.  Yet if I had it to do over I would have also had some allocation go to his college fund directly from his hands.  Not just to increase the funds available but to give him a true sense of ownership, responsibility and gratitude for the fact that this money is available.

What I know is this my niece and nehpiew will have real options when they finish high school.  Options my brother-in-law would be hard pressed to provide on their household income.  All this from the simple wisdom of “pay yourself first”.  Consider it the next time your little ones get a card from Grandpa Joe or Aunt Betty.  A few less do-dads today for a real kick start to life tomorrow.