The case for investing in gold
Many financial advisers are not very keen on investing in gold because they claim it has a fairly poor record compared to let’s say the S&P Average or the Dow Jones. Indeed a case can be made for this but there is another lesser know case for gold that make you really want to look at putting at least some money in gold. The reality is that the Dow and just about any metric or fund or stock has at some point a 10 year period where it lost money or at least lost to inflation and against gold.
Gold has never gone down over any 10 year period in history except for the early 80s when gold along with silver and other metals were artificially manipulated by the Hunt Brothers and other groups. Smart investors did not buy during that period though, if they were really smart they sold off gold and bought in back in the mid 80s. Those investors did very well.
Now look I am certainly not advising you to put all of your money in gold or to take it all out of solid investments. I am also against any real heavy numismatic investments in gold coins. Yet to put 10-20% of a portfolio into gold or gold stocks or funds makes a lot of sense as a solid investment hedge. Gold has gone up quite a bit in the past five years so many investors are a bit skiddish about buying it at a precieved high. However there are a lot of factors in play right now that will most likely have a positive impact on Gold prices for a long time to come.
- The US Dollar continues to decline and the government seems to want it that way. To understand this factor you need to grasp that gold could stay level in the global market and still go up in dollars, simply because the dollar declines.
- The economies of China and India and other nations are putting more demand on gold as a consumer level commodity. As the middle class of these nations grow more demand for gold jewelry results in more demand for gold in the global market.
- Right now the demand for Gold is about 10% higher then the supply that is being produced.
All of these factors make gold an attractive alternative to conventional investments. Of course you should consult with your financial advisors before you buy, I am just saying have a look at gold as one way to protect yourself against what looks like a coming recession and an ever falling dollar.
Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (0)Why Ron Paul and low taxes are good for the economy
You hear liberals all the time discuss how the tax cuts by Bush were reckless. Now look I am not exactly pleased with Bush myself right now and I think his spending (and that of our both the Democrats and Republicans in Congress) is absolutely reckless and disgraceful. Yet cutting taxes makes a lot of sense, further I think we should keep cutting lower and lower.
In fact if I had my way Ron Paul would become our next President and completely cut the income tax to zero. Think that is unreasonable? Well if we cut spending to where it was just 7 years ago we could eliminate the income tax. Yea your read that right, just cut spending to 2000 levels and we do not need an income tax. That should make you really understand just how many other taxes we already pay.
I digress though, lets just talk about an easy way to understand why lower taxes are good for our economy. Now I could go into Economic theory and formulas and such but that is not necessary. I can instead explain this in a very simple and easy to understand way, think of it simply like having a “sales”. If you ran a store and wanted to sell more products would you do it by raising prices or by having a sale?
Now that is about a stupid question isn’t it? Anybody knows when stores have sales they sell more and when they jack up pricing they sell less.
The important thing to understand is that employment, investing and spending is what drives our economy. So to understand why lower taxes drive better economies from here is really easy. Let’s look at how taxes going up or down effect each of these three factors.
Employment - When taxes are lower businesses keep more of their profits rather then giving them over to the government. When a company has more money in profit they grow. As they grow they have more needs for personal and of course they hire more people. In short a lower tax is like a sale on hiring talented people. When you tax a business higher of course we have the exact opposite effect. Companies keep less profit, there is less funding available and they grow slower and hire new people at a slower rate.
Investing - This is simple to understand. If you invest money that inherently comes with risk. So if I put 50,000 dollars into an investment I could loose much of it. On the other hand if the investment does well I end up with a profit but I only keep the part I don’t pay as taxes. For me to take a risk the upside has to be attractive so of course the lower the tax on investment profits the more attractive investments are. Now if you want me to do something incredibility risky like fund a new business I better get to keep the lion’s share of my profit or there is no good reason to take the risk.
You see when taxes are low on capital gains it is like a sale on investments. Effectively I am paying less money to make more money. Did you know that at one time tax rates were as high as 90% for some income brackets. 90%! Don’t believe me look at some historical tax rates here. Now let me ask you why would anyone risk say 100,000 dollars to fund a start up business as a part owner. End up making 200,000 dollars for the investment and then have to pay all but 10,000 of it as taxes? Why in the hell would anyone take such a risk for so small of a true return? Again when this tax goes up it is like when a store raises its’ pricing and when taxes go down money flows in a “sale like” environment. Simply put when investments go on sale more investors buy more investments.
Spending - Now I am all for saving money but if no one spends any money the economy grinds to a halt. This one is the easiest of the three to understand. Tax Joe and Jane America at a lower tax rate and they keep more of their money, when people have more they spend more. In short for the average consumer lower taxes are a “sale” on everything. You just have to do a bit of inverse thinking to understand this. Joe works 10 hours a day and makes 250 dollars for his day of work. Each day he pays 100 back in tax so he profits an actual 150 dollars.
So Joe values money according to that formula. Hence he “pays” 10 hours of his effort for a 150 dollar item. Now tax Joe only 50 dollars and he now profits at 200 dollars for the day. Now a 150 dollar item only “costs” him 7.5 hours! In short by taking less taxes Joe is now buying everything at a 25% discount.
The combined effect
The reality is the economy is like an ecosystem composed of these three factors of spending, investing and employment. None can sustain themselves with out the other two. There is far more complexity then this but a basic understanding is simple.
- When more money is available to business from profit and from investors they hire more people.
- When more people are employed they have more money to spend, hence they spend it.
- When people spend more money it drives business and results in more profits
- When people can find jobs and get paid well and are taxed lower they also invest more
- Investments then feed business
It is really a circle of economic life. In this circle low taxes are like good fertilizer that makes everything healthy and grow faster. Higher taxes are like salting the earth, they lay waste to the ecosystem and stall growth. Now democrat or republican should not matter this is mathematical science and math does not lie.
Debate the role of government if you like, support a guy with an R or a D after his name or if you are smart perhaps an I. Yet don’t ever be fooled by how there is any good to come from higher taxes. Don’t let the government pitch class warfare on you saying only the “rich” are going to see higher taxes. Right now most American’s work till April 30th to pay all taxes, that is enough, more is not the answer.
Oh and yea I really meant it that we could totally eliminate the income tax, watch this video on Ron Paul for more about that.
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Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (1)Why you should be making money online
In the future I will discuss many specific ways that you can make money online. Remember key to our philosophy here at cut that bill is not just reducing expenses but keeping more of your money, investing it wisely and most importantly increasing your cash flow in to your household or business. There is quite simply no easier or more passive way to earn some additional money today then to do it online.
Let me be clear though, “how to do it”, is irrelevant until you get your head around the why and until you grasp how a very “small success” can drastically change your future. Let’s take three very doable numbers and consider how they could impact your life to really grasp how powerful an additional income stream from the internet can be. These figures are
- $100
- $250
- $500
Now trust me making these types of additional monthly income figures is very doable for just about anyone with a willingness to do some investing, learning and work. You will have to work harder in the beginning but such is life. Again though for now let’s stick to why you should and what it can mean. What do each of these figures mean to you,
An extra $100 dollars a month can smash 1200 dollars of out standing additional debt a year which is a good start. Paying off 1200 dollars in additional credit card or other high interest debt actually saves about 5000 dollars of long term interest if it is applied on top of your existing payments. Add 100 dollars to a typical house payment on say a 120,000 dollar mortgage and it can shave GET THIS almost 5 years off a 30 year loan. Invested at 10% and just put away it will add a quarter million to your retirement in 30 years, do it for 40 years and it is now worth about 600K added to your golden years. Remember that is only 100 dollars a month more!
An extra $250 is a lot more powerful as you might imagine, with investing you don’t just get 2.5 times the effect as compounding creates an exponential increase. Invested over 40 years of your working life that 250 dollars a month turns into over 1.5 million at simple 10% interest. Of course you can do much better then that with some creativity and participation in your financial planning. Turn to debt and you can pay down an addition 3000 dollars in debt annually which can save many in credit card debt over 20,000 dollars over the live of debt!
Step up to an additional $500 in income into your monthly cash flow and you can begin to really make a massive impact. Try 6000 dollars in additional debt destroyed per year. This alone would destroy the average of 20K in consumer debt most middle income Americans are living under in just over three years. Get out of that type of debt in three years or less and you can save massive amounts of interest. Investing gets interesting, 30 years of 500 a month at 12% interest equals GET THIS over 5 million dollars. There is even more power though!
500 a month would allow you to buy a modest second home if you wanted for vacations in some beautiful part of rural America. Don’t believe me? Fine I own a beautiful modest second home in an somewhat tourist area of the South up in the beautiful Ozarks. The place sits on 5 acres, is 15 minutes to town, 20 minutes to a beautiful lake and only about 10 people live all the dead end road the place is located on. Everyone owns at least 5 acres so the houses are very spaced apart. My total payment? With taxes and insurance 523 dollars a month. How I just looked hard enough.
Now the real beauty here is what I call my “Plan B”. Let’s say that my companies all go bust, I can’t find a job and my wifes income all of the sudden can’t cover our bills at our primary residence. Now this is not to say that everyone should invest extra income in a second/vacation home, it just begins to open your mind to the types of things you can do to build and preserve wealth with just a few hundred extra dollars of income a month.
Filed under Business & Marketing | Comment (1)Advice from the broke is useless
I know this seems so obvious, never take advice on money, investing and business from the broke. The problem is it is not always easy to recognize the “broke”, when I refer to people that are broke I am not saying they live in a “poor house”, make very little money and eat mealy porridge. I simply mean they are broke as in more money goes out that comes in.
Broke people live next door to you, they live in neighborhoods that are both two steps down and two steps up from yours. Broke people are everywhere, most of the people in America are broke by my definition. They are the people in huge 50K dollar SUVs that they justify as being needed “to cart the kids around in”. Jeez, how big are these kids? They have beautiful homes, nice furniture and perhaps even lawn care service. Many have vacation homes or time shares or other true luxuries. How can I call these people broke?
Easy they are broke, they have very little to no surplus cash flow, they save next to nothing other then what perhaps goes automatically into a 401K (Thank God for that at least). They have TVs on credit, cars on credit, pools on credit, some have charged the very paint on their walls and the sofa they sit on. Cut off their income for 30 days and most would loose every thing they have. They are broke because they have no “wealth” only things, stuff and the appearance of wealth.
Such people are always big talkers. They tell you “now is the time to buy” or that “that business deal seems risky” and other wonderful nuggets of advice. They tell you how great that new SUV is, how wonderful owning a plasma TV is and they always have investment advice for you.
My advice is, don’t take their advice. If you follow the advice given by most people it will lead you down the same path they are on. In other words take advice from your uncle who has that beautiful house, nice cars and kids in top schools and you may just get their yourself. Yet you will probably do it “his way” (the normal way) and be in debt up to your eyeballs and working into extended retirement years just to pay the interest on all of it.
So where do you go for advice? To the successful, to the millionaires next door. Look for the guy that pays cash for everything, the woman that has a 6 figure job and a 150,000 dollar house and a sensible car along with a nice savings account, a good team of advisers and a very fat and growing Roth IRA. These people are not “broke” they could go with out work 6 months to a year with just a bit of sacrifice if they had to.
How do you find them? There are many of us, just talk to people and you will know right away.
- The broke talk about how expensive gas is and the wealthy talk about how efficient their cars are.
- The broke think rich people are “over paid” and “thieves” and the wealthy think the rich are “generous” and “admirable”
- The broke shop for “deals” on consumer goods, the wealthy look for “deals” on real estate and investments
- The broke think cars are status symbols and the wealthy think cars are a “necessary expense”
- The broke talk about “saving money” by spending it, the wealth talk about budgeting and investing the savings
Just realize it is not income that separates the broke from the wealthy. In my town I can show you people with a household income of 100K or more that are “broke” and I can show you some with a household income of say 70K that are very “wealthy”.
Just remember this and consider it when anyone advises you how to spend your money, what to buy, how to invest and on what is important or what is safe vs risky. Now I am not saying that no broke person ever gives any decent advice. Sure many times they do, just don’t let the broke counter your instincts or justify what you know to be a mistake for short term gratification.
Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (1)What I Blow Money On
Part of the benefit of having extra money is the ability to spend some of it. I believe in cutting costs, investing wisely and building wealth and security. Yet I also believe in enjoying life along the way, if not then what is the point? Any of us could die tomorrow so the key is to balance living for today with planning for tomorrow. So what are some of the things I spend more money on then I should or some of the stuff I just buy when I am bored? Here are a few,
- Starbucks Coffee - I will admit it, I am a caffeine fiend. When I made a lot less money Starbucks was a luxuary that I enjoyed once in a while, now I don’t go a day without a Vente Cappuccino or two. This is extravagance, a waste, a senseless spending that I end up with nothing to show for. Still it makes me happy and I have no real debt to worry about any more, I don’t stop investing to fund it and I only pay in cash so I have the money in my pocket each week to cover the expense.
- My Animals - I have dogs, cats and a lot of reptiles. As a child I wanted to be a herpetologist (a biologist who studies reptiles) but the lure of business was too powerful and I never went to college to pursue the biology degree. When I didn’t have much money and was in debt heavily I kept no pets, today I have an abundance of animals around me. I do breed the reptiles and one day they may pay for themselves but for now all the animals are an expense that never returns any money. Yet the dogs and cats bring joy to me and the family and the reptiles allow me to fufil my childhood dream of being a researcher working with snakes.
- Gadgets - I have all kinds of electronic do dads and I buy something new at least every month. Cameras, software, media players, etc. I just love technology, I like seeing what you can do with it, what you can create and what the latest craze is before it hits. Some of the stuff like my Blackberry has a real purpose for work and organization but most is just for fun. I didn’t need a Sony Alpha DSLR but I bought one because I wanted it. I always pay cash for these gadgets but I must admit I blow money on them. Most are never used to turn a profit I just enjoy having them.
Now let’s say I am bored and just want to go out bumping around with my wife to shops and what not. Doing so will almost always result in spending money! We are all human though and just sitting at home counting money can get old and you don’t always want to really plan an activity so “shopping” (our parents window shopped but we seem to have failed to inherit that ability) has become an American past time. Here are some things I have done to allow me the activity with out totally blowing it.
- Silver Coins - I am a huge fan of American Eagle Coins and often during a jaunt out I stop by one of several local coin shops and buy one or three of them. I keep them in plastic tubes and have been doing this past time for about 10 years now. I occasionally buy more numismaticly valuable coins, mostly older silver dollar and silver half dollar coins. The Eagles have a fixed value against the silver market price (at least newer ones do) so they are decent investments. The other coins have a bit of “subjective value” based on both the silver and collector markets combined. Still even they have a basis based on the price of silver. I will never make a mint on this but there is a value to these coins that will grow. So I get to browse, spend money and not just throw it away.
- Houses - I shop for houses all the time and the beauty of this is multiple. There are always countless new model homes to take a look at, walk around in etc. You never impulse buy a home so that is nice, I shop a lot and buy very seldom. The biggest value is I know my real estate market cold, I know exactly what different types of homes in different areas sell for. So I do know a deal when it pops up. This is the best rule I can give you if you want to invest in real estate some day, window shop houses for a year or so first. Record how long those “great deals” take to sell and keep your whits about you. In time you find gems and when you do you will know it.
- Books - I love knowledge and I love to shop for books, both audio and print. To help with my addiction I shop mostly at Half Price Books so I pay less per book then buying new. A used book is no big handicap to reading it so I just can’t see paying full price unless I want a new book. Then here is the best part, some of these go into my home library but others I read, am done with and sell them back to half price books. They generally pay about 20% or what I bought them for.
So there you go some ways I admit to just blowing money and other ways I stave off boredom with shopping that doesn’t just reduce my net worth dollar per dollar.
Filed under Personal & Home | Comment (1)My Heros in Business and Investing
If you really want to be successful financially you have to follow the intuitive wisdom of the 12 year old that plays Pop Warner Football. That 12 year old sees himself as Bret Farve or Randy Moss or whoever his favorite player is when he takes the field. In his head he hears the crowd and when he makes the catch, tackle or completes a pass for a second he is that superstar.
When you want to build wealth and success you need to do the same thing. You need your own heroes to follow and model yourself after. Here are some of mine and why I follow their lead.
Donald Trump - I admire Donald Trump for a large number of reasons. His success as an entrepreneur and real estate investor of course speaks for itself. On the personal side, Trump often comes across as a real jerk but that is just who he is. Believe it or not I admire that as well, despite being in the public eye he does not try to make the public happy. He is who he is and if you don’t like it, tough! I respect that a great deal.
Trump is also completely honest with people (this is a big part of why he is considered a jerk) about the way he sees things. I never have felt that Trump is someone with a hidden political agenda, he is a patriot, a success and a tough business person with a world class team around him. Trump has also put great deal of effort into establishing educational programs for real estate investing and other financial education programs.
Richard Branson - Branson is a real entrepreneur and has a life envied by many but experienced by very few. Despite being amoung the richest people in the world though he is remarkably down to earth and even reasonably accessible. When you hear him interviewed you think he could just be a bit of an eccentric British guy that lived next door to you.
He owns Necker Island where he maintains his primary residence which was recently featured as the number one celebrity home ahead of Hugh Hefner and Bill Gates! Yet if you met him in a bar tomorrow he would sit down and have a beer or three with you. He has failed more times then he has succeeded in building companies yet he keeps doing it because he loves being a true entrepreneur.
Warren Buffett - Warren began working in his fathers broakrage firm at the age of 11 and never looked back. Known as “America’s most successful investor” I can’t help but admire him. Buffett employed a three pronged approach
- Generals: undervalued securities that possess margin of safety and meet expected return-to-risk characteristics
- Arbitrages: company events that are not related to broader market changes, such as mergers and acquisitions, liquidation, etc.
- Controls: build sizable holdings, ally with other shareholders or employ proxies to effect changes in companies
This approach has made him one of the richest men in the world but was actually a very “safe approach” to investing.
Jimmy Buffett - No not Warren’s brother and that is no typo either. I am talking about party hardy, parrot head, Margaritaville singing Jimmy Buffett from Mobile Alabama. Jimmy speaks to my fun side, the part of me that takes 15 days off, lays on a beach and just lets everyone else deal with my businesses two times a year. He is my “someday” archetype. The old man I want to be when all my battles have been fought and I fish on the beach and drink rum from a coconut.
There is more to Jimmy though, Mr Jim is rich my friends, very, very rich! He has worked branding magic around the “Margaritaville” theme and now owns bars, merchandising and a premium Tequila label. At the same time he has only done what he loved doing. When he first went to Nashville he was rejected by 18 consecutive record label executives, so he kept playing bars and clubs and being who he was.
The rest is history and now despite not having a top ten record in two decades he still sells out just about every show he does and his fans still want more. There are Buffett fans (Parrot Heads) from 8 - 80 and their numbers continue to grow. Why, Jimmy created an image, a brand and did so by being himself. To me that makes him a very successful business person.
Henry Ford - Henry could never have gotten into college even with a bribe, he did not have the grades, the desire or the “book smarts” for it. Yet he is more associated with the automobile then any of the people that actually invented it. Henry took automation to the extreme and made the assembly line a reality and brought the car to the average American. That one achievement may have had more influence on the wealth and growth of the United States then any other person from his era.
Not content to just make cars though, Henry was a master of efficiency. When suppliers bid on supplying him with engines he required the crates they came in to be made to specific specifications. Wanting his business his suppliers agreed, the crates were then disassembled by his workers and formed the floor boards of the Model T. Despite that he had massive amounts of scrap wood from all the shipping crates so he teamed up with E. G. Kingsford, who was a local real-estate agent, to buy land for a massive wood production and charcoal processing plant. With all the waste in government and business today we could use some guys like Ford around.
So those are my heroes in business! I have others but those are my big ones when it comes to money, building businesses and investing. I suggest you assemble your own heroes list. Be inspired by them, know their stories and utilize that creative visualization children do so well in back yards and school stadiums to reach further then you can on your own.
Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (0)Why you should never buy whole life insurance
This is going to be a brief and short post, I am going to put this simply DO NOT EVER purchase whole life, universal life or any other name they ever come up with to try to sell it to you. This has been written on a lot so if you want to know more then I give you here, do a bit of research online and you will find a lot more information to back my suggestion.
Let me be blunt, Life Insurance is for when you die, nothing more and combining it with anything is a mistake. Your life insurance should be about 10 times your annual income if you are supporting a family. The reason for that is simple, 10% returns are quite doable with solid investments so your survivors can invest the proceeds, draw 10% a year and not deplete the money for a very long time. This effectively replaces your income for longer then your working life.
Now to carry that much whole life insurance would be extremely expensive, beyond the budget of most working Americans. An insurance agent will try to show you how whole life builds “cash value” but this is nothing but an illusion.
Remember life insurance pays out when you die! When you live a long time (most of us do) it is good for the Insurance company, you pay and they do not. So when you buy term insurance you pay the amount that very smart economists and math PhD’s have determined will be profitable for the insurance company based on average life expectancy. In other words a fair market price that covers you if you die during the term.
Now look at whole life, you pay a LOT MORE for the same amount of insurance (the risk incurred by the insurer) but the insurance company has the same level of risk. Now if you are a good stooge and pay way to much for way to long, they will then give you some of your money back some day. In the interim they invest your money at market rates of 10-15% returns. So they make that interest, they hold your money and they tell you how great it is that they will give some back.
If you like that how about this. Go get 100,000 dollars, send it to me and I will hold it for you, I will even pay out 2% interest on it. Twenty years from now you can have your 100K back, plus 2% interest per year or you can just let me keep holding it until you die. When you die, I will give the money to who ever you tell me do. Sound like a good deal to you? Of course not! Oh and yea if you ever need the money I will loan your own money to you and you can just pay it back with a bit of interest. Sound like a scam? It’s not you just pay in your 100K in installments and they call it whole life!
So here is what you do, buy the insurance you need on 20 year level term and invest the rest of the money in good solid investments. You make the 7, 10, 12 or 15% depending on your risk tolerance and ability, you retain the ownership and control of your money. If you die in the interim your loved ones are covered, if you live till the end of the term and have invested well then you should not need as much insurance. Perhaps you might buy a bit less for say 10 years and by then if you still need insurance you have done something very wrong.
Don’t let the insurance guy tell you how hard it is for a 70 year old to get insurance! At 70 you don’t need life insurance if you have done a good job of saving and investing. You are not leaving behind a young wife and 3 kids, you just need to be buried. If you can’t save enough money to get yourself put in an box and under six feet of dirt in 70 odd years something is drastically wrong.
I won’t be writing on this subject very often as it is pretty well known and accepted by most good financial professionals today. I just wanted to get it out right away because it is a huge mistake often made by young people who end up in front of a well trained but undereducated insurance agent.
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