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The Stock Market Dropped Today, Here is Why

Wednesday, February 6th, 2008

Today the Down Jones Closed down a significant 370 points (almost 3%).  The question is why?  The answer, The Institute for Supply Management’s January report on the service sector, which accounts for about two-thirds of the economy, said the service side of the U.S. economy dropped sharply . The index dropped to 44.6 last month from a revised reading of 54.4 in December.  This the lowest number since 2001.

So what the heck is the real meaning of this?  The simple way of putting this is the U.S. economy is in a definite decline on the “service” side of the economy.   This is bad because so much of our economy (66%) is service based.

So what’s next?  It’s possible the services side of the economy could rebound some in February, like the manufacturing side did in January after its’ own slide in December.   The benefit of the Federal Reserve’s two big interest rate cuts in the latter part of January could also help spur the service sector back into growth mode later this year.

The key to understand here is this is another shot across the bow of the coming war that is a imminent recession that sooner of late will happen.  My advice yet again is to make sure you are not fully exposed in stocks right now.  We had a few good years but a slide is coming have a heart to heart with your advisers and put some of your investments into something safer for the next few years.

Beat your traffic ticket with TicketBust

Tuesday, February 5th, 2008

Look I am not for driving like a maniac or speeding in school zones but I also really feel that most traffic tickets are nothing but another revenue source for our bloated government. As my blog is about keeping money in your pockets rather then putting it into bad investments (is their a worse investment right now then our Government?) when I was asked to look at a new website called, Ticket Bust , that shows you how to fight a speeding ticket I was happy to do it.

Unfortunately these guys seem to only be available in California but if you live there I would have a look at their website.  They are so confident that they can help you they offer a money back guarantee and that is one of the reasons they make my list of recommend sites.   The reality is traffic tickets are one of the legal issues most of us have to deal with sooner or later (I have had to), so I am glad their are companies out there like this to help consumers.

So please comment below, have you ever used a service like this to handle a ticket?  How did it work?  Have you ever beaten or gotten a ticket reduced on your own?  If so how?

Something cool for golf players

Tuesday, February 5th, 2008

I am not a big golfer but being active in the business world I know just how many people are totally addicted to the sport. One of my partners is a positive fanatic and would rather golf then even say enjoy a very cold martini (some folks?). So when I was asked to have a look at a web site that provides very cost effective golf tournament software it seemed like something that some of my readers might enjoy.

This site is called, NetHandiCap.com and they offer  really cool software product that keeps track of players statistics and handicaps etc.  It is designed to be used by anyone from say people that own a Golf Course and run tournaments to amateur golfers that small run individual clubs competitions and play where and as they choose.   The platform is browser based meaning it does not hog up your PCs memory or resources and can be access from any PC with an internet connection.  Add to this the fact that it is fully customizable and very affordable and at least for the golfers out there NetHandiCap.com makes my list of recommended sites.

More news about gold

Saturday, February 2nd, 2008

Bars of GoldI have blogged a lot on gold, silver and other metals thus far because I firmly believe that they represent a great hedge against inflation, a good long term investment and because I feel they offer a lot of protection from the coming recession. So when this article from Forbes hit my RSS Reader this morning I was quick to have a look at it. The article is title, Gold’s Allure Growing, and I recommend you give it at least a quick read.

While I found the article interesting and quite accurate I do feel they sort of glossed over a key reason for gold going up recently and a reason that gold will continue to go up for quite a while. Here was the only mention of this factor in the article,

“Demand for the metal is also strong in Asia, for jewelery and as a store of value.”

That was the only mention of this factor in the entire article and I find this very much missing the boat. Why? Well, because with China and India what we have is more then 2 Billion (with a big B) people who are rapidly growing their middle class and both societies have a tremendous appetite for gold jewelry. I recently read a report on of the foremost expert on gold and mining operations who stated that we currently have “at least a 10% shortfall on the production vs. demand for gold most of which is attributed to the rising demand in India and China for gold jewelry.”

In other words those 2 billion people are buying gold faster then it can be extracted from the ground. The big issue with that is it has never happened before. The demand for gold has always been based on how rare it is and that has always created a demand yet until now anyone could always buy as much as they could afford. Today we have unmeetable demand and the demand is growing faster then the production and again this is the first time in modern history that such a condition has existed in the gold market.

I highly advise any investor (small or large) to have a serious heart to heart conversation with your financial advisers about putting at least 10-20% of your holdings into gold, gold funds, etc. The increased demand and declining dollar together make gold a real winning opportunity at least in my opinion right now.

Selling products of services online

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

In my site philosophy I explain in commandments 4 and 5 that I think every person today should be to some degree “self employed” and have some business of their own. Today the easiest way to make that happen is to make your money with internet marketing and one of the best things you can sell are either software that is down-loadable or informational products that can also be downloaded. With that all you need to do is create the product and market it, there is no inventory, no shipping, no real expenses.

To do it right though one thing you will definitely need though is ecommerce software or what is commonly referred to as an online shopping cart.  I was recently asked to check out a site called AmeriCommerce which provides the tools to do this.  I found there software is very easy to integrate and quite robust at the starting price of only 39 Dollars a month and if you need help with integration or even some help with web design they can provide that as well.

I like this platform for a few reasons

  • Easy integrations with Google Check Out and PayPal
  • Very stable platform that is simple but also robust for power applications as well
  • It is search engine friendly
  • Offers a ton of features
  • Tracks your ROI (return of investment)
  • Allows you to set up affiliates programs
  • And a ton more

So check out AmeriCommerce if you need a good shopping cart program and the best news is they offer a 14 day free trial with every program so you can be sure of their quality of service before spending any money, for that they make my list of recommended sites.

Another prime rate cut is comming

Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

Well if you did not start a refinancing process when I suggested it before you may want to hold a few more days for a bit lower of a rate. Everyone is expecting yet another slashing of the prime rate after the Fed’s meeting at the end of this month. I don’t predict another big cut and while the media is using the term “slash” I think we will see perhaps another 1/8th - 1/4th. That won’t mean a ton more then the last cut already meant but it will make a difference to some who are on the “edge” of making mortgage refinancing a good decision.

To me the real opportunity here is for real estate investing. Loans are lower then any time in history and houses are sitting by the butt load. Right now is a great time to find an incredible deal on investment property. It is however not a time to be stupid and go into highly leveraged deals. What you are looking for right now is a property at 10-20% under even the current depressed value, a property that you can afford to have for a year to 18 months with out a tenant and still have no financial grief.

This is a big part of why the rich always get richer. If you are in good shape money wise right now and can afford 1-3 small properties in this fashion you stand to make very big investing returns in the next 5 years. If however, you are dead broke or swimming in debt you just have to sit back and watch all these great deals sit. This is a very bad time to be in the property flipping business. With the massive inventory out there, suppressed market and probably a 2 year recession ahead it is a great time to be buying the best deals you can find and afford, holding on to them and renting them as you can.

This is exactly why I always say the reason to build wealth in many ways is to live good in bad times.

A great way to connect children to their roots

Monday, January 28th, 2008

If you have read this blog for any length of time then you know I am big on teaching children to save, invest and understand money from an early age. What I have observed in talking with people from many generations is that there is a direct correlation between how a person views both money and debt and what generation they come from.

My Grandfather’s generation saw debt as a prison and felt that you should scrape and save every penny you could. My father was a lot like his grandfather and passed much of that wisdom to me but yet his generation was more open to some debt and some more free spending. In my generation people live in debt (I am a Gen X’r) and the Y generation is graduating college with enough debt to fund most first home mortgages. With each succeeding generation comes more spending, less savings and more debt.

I really feel it was my firm connection to immigrant grandparents that went through hell to get here, then dealt with the great depression and then served in World War 2 that cemented my firm conviction in the principles of saving, keeping debt low and always planning for a “rainy day” that I discuss on this blog.

One thing I think parents can do with children to ground them in these sound principles is to make sure they are connected to their roots. So when I was asked to look at a website where you could build a family tree for free I was happy to do it.   The site is called Tribal Pages and it is very cool and at a cost of free it is a great low cost activity for you to do with your kids and involve the rest of the family.

As you build out your tree you have you are able to do it on your own free web page, other family members can view it online and help you fill in missing spots. (Don’t worry if you are not technical it is a very easy system to use.) I firmly believe that a child that knows their past and how hard their ancestors worked to ensure they could have the opportunities we do today will be more likely to value money and opportunity. When I interview and hire people from Gen X and Gen Y, I see a ton of “entitlement attitude” and it really bothers me. Most people today seem very disconnected from the reality of just 50 years ago.

So if you want your kids to value what they have and in fact if you want to value it more yourself I encourage you to research your past, build a family tree and understand why we have so much opportunity today. Research the values of your family a generation or three ago and build that connection. Tribal Pages definitely makes my list of recommended sites for providing a great service at no cost that helps families understand and preserve their identities.

A college education does not have to equal a lifetime of debt

Friday, January 25th, 2008

Item number one of the philosophy that drives everything we do on this site is “Debt sucks! Stay out of it as much as you can” and I most certainly do include “student loans” in that viewpoint. Now I realize that for some students taking some student loans will be the only way to pay for 4 years of college I just believe you should borrow the absolute minimum amount you can. Student loans are not for supporting a lifestyle they should be used to fund tuition, books and direct educational expenses.

My biggest issue is that many young people are lured into massive student loan debt while billions of dollars in college grants and scholarships go unclaimed every single year. Let me repeat that fact billions of dollars in educational grants and scholarships that never have to be paid back go unclaimed every single year while students go into deep debt to fund their educations.

That is why I am a big fan of websites like Scholarships.com that help put students in touch with those funds. So if you or someone you care about is getting ready to go off to college or is even currently in college please make sure to take advantage of every way to fund that education that is possible. Even just a few partial scholarships and grants can have a massive effect on long term debt.

I have talked to new grads that come out of school over 75,000 dollars in debt. In many places that will buy a person a starter home! Debt is cancer always remember that it must be used as a tool and only as it is needed. Right now this very second there is more then 19 Billion dollars waiting at Scholarships.com to help fund educational needs so please make sure to check out their website, set up a free account and find ways other then more debt to fund educational expenses.

For helping young people reduce debt and achieve educational goals Scholarships.com certainly makes my list of recommended sites.