Why Ron Paul and low taxes are good for the economy
You hear liberals all the time discuss how the tax cuts by Bush were reckless. Now look I am not exactly pleased with Bush myself right now and I think his spending (and that of our both the Democrats and Republicans in Congress) is absolutely reckless and disgraceful. Yet cutting taxes makes a lot of sense, further I think we should keep cutting lower and lower.
In fact if I had my way Ron Paul would become our next President and completely cut the income tax to zero. Think that is unreasonable? Well if we cut spending to where it was just 7 years ago we could eliminate the income tax. Yea your read that right, just cut spending to 2000 levels and we do not need an income tax. That should make you really understand just how many other taxes we already pay.
I digress though, lets just talk about an easy way to understand why lower taxes are good for our economy. Now I could go into Economic theory and formulas and such but that is not necessary. I can instead explain this in a very simple and easy to understand way, think of it simply like having a “sales”. If you ran a store and wanted to sell more products would you do it by raising prices or by having a sale?
Now that is about a stupid question isn’t it? Anybody knows when stores have sales they sell more and when they jack up pricing they sell less.
The important thing to understand is that employment, investing and spending is what drives our economy. So to understand why lower taxes drive better economies from here is really easy. Let’s look at how taxes going up or down effect each of these three factors.
Employment - When taxes are lower businesses keep more of their profits rather then giving them over to the government. When a company has more money in profit they grow. As they grow they have more needs for personal and of course they hire more people. In short a lower tax is like a sale on hiring talented people. When you tax a business higher of course we have the exact opposite effect. Companies keep less profit, there is less funding available and they grow slower and hire new people at a slower rate.
Investing - This is simple to understand. If you invest money that inherently comes with risk. So if I put 50,000 dollars into an investment I could loose much of it. On the other hand if the investment does well I end up with a profit but I only keep the part I don’t pay as taxes. For me to take a risk the upside has to be attractive so of course the lower the tax on investment profits the more attractive investments are. Now if you want me to do something incredibility risky like fund a new business I better get to keep the lion’s share of my profit or there is no good reason to take the risk.
You see when taxes are low on capital gains it is like a sale on investments. Effectively I am paying less money to make more money. Did you know that at one time tax rates were as high as 90% for some income brackets. 90%! Don’t believe me look at some historical tax rates here. Now let me ask you why would anyone risk say 100,000 dollars to fund a start up business as a part owner. End up making 200,000 dollars for the investment and then have to pay all but 10,000 of it as taxes? Why in the hell would anyone take such a risk for so small of a true return? Again when this tax goes up it is like when a store raises its’ pricing and when taxes go down money flows in a “sale like” environment. Simply put when investments go on sale more investors buy more investments.
Spending - Now I am all for saving money but if no one spends any money the economy grinds to a halt. This one is the easiest of the three to understand. Tax Joe and Jane America at a lower tax rate and they keep more of their money, when people have more they spend more. In short for the average consumer lower taxes are a “sale” on everything. You just have to do a bit of inverse thinking to understand this. Joe works 10 hours a day and makes 250 dollars for his day of work. Each day he pays 100 back in tax so he profits an actual 150 dollars.
So Joe values money according to that formula. Hence he “pays” 10 hours of his effort for a 150 dollar item. Now tax Joe only 50 dollars and he now profits at 200 dollars for the day. Now a 150 dollar item only “costs” him 7.5 hours! In short by taking less taxes Joe is now buying everything at a 25% discount.
The combined effect
The reality is the economy is like an ecosystem composed of these three factors of spending, investing and employment. None can sustain themselves with out the other two. There is far more complexity then this but a basic understanding is simple.
- When more money is available to business from profit and from investors they hire more people.
- When more people are employed they have more money to spend, hence they spend it.
- When people spend more money it drives business and results in more profits
- When people can find jobs and get paid well and are taxed lower they also invest more
- Investments then feed business
It is really a circle of economic life. In this circle low taxes are like good fertilizer that makes everything healthy and grow faster. Higher taxes are like salting the earth, they lay waste to the ecosystem and stall growth. Now democrat or republican should not matter this is mathematical science and math does not lie.
Debate the role of government if you like, support a guy with an R or a D after his name or if you are smart perhaps an I. Yet don’t ever be fooled by how there is any good to come from higher taxes. Don’t let the government pitch class warfare on you saying only the “rich” are going to see higher taxes. Right now most American’s work till April 30th to pay all taxes, that is enough, more is not the answer.
Oh and yea I really meant it that we could totally eliminate the income tax, watch this video on Ron Paul for more about that.
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Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (1)Advice from the broke is useless
I know this seems so obvious, never take advice on money, investing and business from the broke. The problem is it is not always easy to recognize the “broke”, when I refer to people that are broke I am not saying they live in a “poor house”, make very little money and eat mealy porridge. I simply mean they are broke as in more money goes out that comes in.
Broke people live next door to you, they live in neighborhoods that are both two steps down and two steps up from yours. Broke people are everywhere, most of the people in America are broke by my definition. They are the people in huge 50K dollar SUVs that they justify as being needed “to cart the kids around in”. Jeez, how big are these kids? They have beautiful homes, nice furniture and perhaps even lawn care service. Many have vacation homes or time shares or other true luxuries. How can I call these people broke?
Easy they are broke, they have very little to no surplus cash flow, they save next to nothing other then what perhaps goes automatically into a 401K (Thank God for that at least). They have TVs on credit, cars on credit, pools on credit, some have charged the very paint on their walls and the sofa they sit on. Cut off their income for 30 days and most would loose every thing they have. They are broke because they have no “wealth” only things, stuff and the appearance of wealth.
Such people are always big talkers. They tell you “now is the time to buy” or that “that business deal seems risky” and other wonderful nuggets of advice. They tell you how great that new SUV is, how wonderful owning a plasma TV is and they always have investment advice for you.
My advice is, don’t take their advice. If you follow the advice given by most people it will lead you down the same path they are on. In other words take advice from your uncle who has that beautiful house, nice cars and kids in top schools and you may just get their yourself. Yet you will probably do it “his way” (the normal way) and be in debt up to your eyeballs and working into extended retirement years just to pay the interest on all of it.
So where do you go for advice? To the successful, to the millionaires next door. Look for the guy that pays cash for everything, the woman that has a 6 figure job and a 150,000 dollar house and a sensible car along with a nice savings account, a good team of advisers and a very fat and growing Roth IRA. These people are not “broke” they could go with out work 6 months to a year with just a bit of sacrifice if they had to.
How do you find them? There are many of us, just talk to people and you will know right away.
- The broke talk about how expensive gas is and the wealthy talk about how efficient their cars are.
- The broke think rich people are “over paid” and “thieves” and the wealthy think the rich are “generous” and “admirable”
- The broke shop for “deals” on consumer goods, the wealthy look for “deals” on real estate and investments
- The broke think cars are status symbols and the wealthy think cars are a “necessary expense”
- The broke talk about “saving money” by spending it, the wealth talk about budgeting and investing the savings
Just realize it is not income that separates the broke from the wealthy. In my town I can show you people with a household income of 100K or more that are “broke” and I can show you some with a household income of say 70K that are very “wealthy”.
Just remember this and consider it when anyone advises you how to spend your money, what to buy, how to invest and on what is important or what is safe vs risky. Now I am not saying that no broke person ever gives any decent advice. Sure many times they do, just don’t let the broke counter your instincts or justify what you know to be a mistake for short term gratification.
Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (1)Pay the right price for you home
This post is not about setting your budget for a mortgage, taxes, insurance, etc. That is a number you need to come up with before you start even looking for a home. You need to determine what you can afford then follow this golden rule, SPEND LESS then you can afford.
What this post will do is help you find the right home for the right price with in your means. So let’s begin.
First, write down what you want this includes,
- What area you want to live in
- Your price range
- Bedrooms, Bathrooms, Garage, etc
The typical things you are looking for in a home.
Second, start to form your own idea of what is available in your area. Cruise over to Realtor.com and search properties. Drive the neighborhoods you are interested in and get prices on the houses with signs in their yards. Do your home work before you speak to a realtor. Visit new model homes, get pricing on everything. Learn what homes are like just above and below your target budget. If you are going to spend about 150K, then look at homes in the 90-250K range. Learn your market before you even think about spending a penny. Take as long as you need to do this well. Write down homes you could see yourself buying and see how long they take to sell at their price point.
Third, call a few different real estate agents (get referrals if you can). Talk to at least three, tell them exactly what type of home you want to buy, the neighborhoods you want to look it and the schools you want, etc. Be very specific. Tell the agent that you know about the phrase, “buyers are liars” and find it offensive! (I will explain buyers are liars at the end of this article). Then ask the agent what price range you should expect to have to pay to get that type of home.
In other words DO NOT let your agent start the whole interview by asking you what you can afford, you tell an agent you have a 125-150K budget and odds are you will find yourself in a 160K home! Remember you now know your market and you should get a number back from your agent that matches what you already know. Many times the number is much higher and this tells you that your agent is NOT LISTENING TO YOU, they are not understanding you. In many instances they are therefore not right for you.
Never let your agent call the shots control the relationship from the get go. They are experts, they are supposed to know more then you your preshopping will tell you if that is the case. Just because they know more then you does not mean they know what you want. Never let an agent say crap to you like, “you don’t what this” or “you really need to consider paying a bit more”. My accountant knows more then me, my financial advisors do to. Yet they work for me and are employed at my pleasure, I do not let them forget it.
Your agent may want you to sign a buyers agent contract. Never sign one that forces you to buy a home via them, one that protects you from going direct to the seller is fine. So is one that requires that if you buy a house they show you that your work with them on it but stay away from those that want a 180 day exclusive agreements. Explain you will be fair, that you want the right place for the right place and will give them the time they need to get the job done. Yet be clear they work for you and reserve the right to fire them at any time.
Fourth, choose the agent you get along with best that was at least close to the price range you expected to hear when you answered the question. Now take your maximum budget (lets call it 150K but it could be anything based on where you live and your income level, etc) and cut it by 10%! So that would in our example mean down to 135K and now your mission is to find a home that compares well with others selling at 150K. You can ALMOST always do this. Not in every market and not all the time but in most instances you can always find a deal like this.
Fifth, when you find the home you want to buy make your offer at least 10% below the asking price. So on this 135K home you now offer about 123K! All the seller can do is say no, you can always offer more, what do you think is going to happen? Do you think they might be so offended as to raise the price to 180? The only risk is someone else will buy the home. So what you must be willing to walk away from any deal. Most times when you low ball at precisely 10% the agent on the other end “gets it”, they generaly counter offer in the middle some where, you just might get that home worth 150 that is listed at 135 for 130.
There are always deals
Such deals are possible and in fact anyone can get one! I have done it on the last three homes I purchased. I bought one for just 84K and sold it for 109K just two years later with no improvements other then a deck. I bought another for 135 that was appraised at 159 and sold in three years later for a few pennies under 200K.
My latest find was a house easily worth 170 that was listed for 139 and I paid get this 120! How come, the listing agent was an idiot! The home had a second living area, a huge yard (1/3rd of an acre average lots are 1/10th), and a home office. The listing agent listed the house as a 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage home, brick and vinyl. Nothing more! The guy should have been shot but it was my gain, we offered 115 they countered at 120 and I jumped on it.
The owners were days from having to start paying a second mortgage and I got the place for a song. Honestly there wasn’t another house with all of this going for it under 200K with in 10 miles of it but the buyer had to sell. The house was on a culdesac so it got no drive by traffic and the agent clearly blew the marketing.
So there you go a blueprint for finding the best deal on a home. Will it work in those white hot markets where houses sell in 24 hours? Not usually but generally just outside of those areas there are deals just waiting to be had. Be flexible, consider your options and spend LESS then you can afford. With a little work you can really get a great deal and build a solid investment from day one. Just remember real estate is not a game, you are not in it to be nice or make friends or even help people. You have to be tough, stand your ground and walk away if you need to.
Filed under Personal & Home | Comment (0)My Heros in Business and Investing
If you really want to be successful financially you have to follow the intuitive wisdom of the 12 year old that plays Pop Warner Football. That 12 year old sees himself as Bret Farve or Randy Moss or whoever his favorite player is when he takes the field. In his head he hears the crowd and when he makes the catch, tackle or completes a pass for a second he is that superstar.
When you want to build wealth and success you need to do the same thing. You need your own heroes to follow and model yourself after. Here are some of mine and why I follow their lead.
Donald Trump - I admire Donald Trump for a large number of reasons. His success as an entrepreneur and real estate investor of course speaks for itself. On the personal side, Trump often comes across as a real jerk but that is just who he is. Believe it or not I admire that as well, despite being in the public eye he does not try to make the public happy. He is who he is and if you don’t like it, tough! I respect that a great deal.
Trump is also completely honest with people (this is a big part of why he is considered a jerk) about the way he sees things. I never have felt that Trump is someone with a hidden political agenda, he is a patriot, a success and a tough business person with a world class team around him. Trump has also put great deal of effort into establishing educational programs for real estate investing and other financial education programs.
Richard Branson - Branson is a real entrepreneur and has a life envied by many but experienced by very few. Despite being amoung the richest people in the world though he is remarkably down to earth and even reasonably accessible. When you hear him interviewed you think he could just be a bit of an eccentric British guy that lived next door to you.
He owns Necker Island where he maintains his primary residence which was recently featured as the number one celebrity home ahead of Hugh Hefner and Bill Gates! Yet if you met him in a bar tomorrow he would sit down and have a beer or three with you. He has failed more times then he has succeeded in building companies yet he keeps doing it because he loves being a true entrepreneur.
Warren Buffett - Warren began working in his fathers broakrage firm at the age of 11 and never looked back. Known as “America’s most successful investor” I can’t help but admire him. Buffett employed a three pronged approach
- Generals: undervalued securities that possess margin of safety and meet expected return-to-risk characteristics
- Arbitrages: company events that are not related to broader market changes, such as mergers and acquisitions, liquidation, etc.
- Controls: build sizable holdings, ally with other shareholders or employ proxies to effect changes in companies
This approach has made him one of the richest men in the world but was actually a very “safe approach” to investing.
Jimmy Buffett - No not Warren’s brother and that is no typo either. I am talking about party hardy, parrot head, Margaritaville singing Jimmy Buffett from Mobile Alabama. Jimmy speaks to my fun side, the part of me that takes 15 days off, lays on a beach and just lets everyone else deal with my businesses two times a year. He is my “someday” archetype. The old man I want to be when all my battles have been fought and I fish on the beach and drink rum from a coconut.
There is more to Jimmy though, Mr Jim is rich my friends, very, very rich! He has worked branding magic around the “Margaritaville” theme and now owns bars, merchandising and a premium Tequila label. At the same time he has only done what he loved doing. When he first went to Nashville he was rejected by 18 consecutive record label executives, so he kept playing bars and clubs and being who he was.
The rest is history and now despite not having a top ten record in two decades he still sells out just about every show he does and his fans still want more. There are Buffett fans (Parrot Heads) from 8 - 80 and their numbers continue to grow. Why, Jimmy created an image, a brand and did so by being himself. To me that makes him a very successful business person.
Henry Ford - Henry could never have gotten into college even with a bribe, he did not have the grades, the desire or the “book smarts” for it. Yet he is more associated with the automobile then any of the people that actually invented it. Henry took automation to the extreme and made the assembly line a reality and brought the car to the average American. That one achievement may have had more influence on the wealth and growth of the United States then any other person from his era.
Not content to just make cars though, Henry was a master of efficiency. When suppliers bid on supplying him with engines he required the crates they came in to be made to specific specifications. Wanting his business his suppliers agreed, the crates were then disassembled by his workers and formed the floor boards of the Model T. Despite that he had massive amounts of scrap wood from all the shipping crates so he teamed up with E. G. Kingsford, who was a local real-estate agent, to buy land for a massive wood production and charcoal processing plant. With all the waste in government and business today we could use some guys like Ford around.
So those are my heroes in business! I have others but those are my big ones when it comes to money, building businesses and investing. I suggest you assemble your own heroes list. Be inspired by them, know their stories and utilize that creative visualization children do so well in back yards and school stadiums to reach further then you can on your own.
Filed under Wealth & Investing | Comment (0)Why you should never buy whole life insurance
This is going to be a brief and short post, I am going to put this simply DO NOT EVER purchase whole life, universal life or any other name they ever come up with to try to sell it to you. This has been written on a lot so if you want to know more then I give you here, do a bit of research online and you will find a lot more information to back my suggestion.
Let me be blunt, Life Insurance is for when you die, nothing more and combining it with anything is a mistake. Your life insurance should be about 10 times your annual income if you are supporting a family. The reason for that is simple, 10% returns are quite doable with solid investments so your survivors can invest the proceeds, draw 10% a year and not deplete the money for a very long time. This effectively replaces your income for longer then your working life.
Now to carry that much whole life insurance would be extremely expensive, beyond the budget of most working Americans. An insurance agent will try to show you how whole life builds “cash value” but this is nothing but an illusion.
Remember life insurance pays out when you die! When you live a long time (most of us do) it is good for the Insurance company, you pay and they do not. So when you buy term insurance you pay the amount that very smart economists and math PhD’s have determined will be profitable for the insurance company based on average life expectancy. In other words a fair market price that covers you if you die during the term.
Now look at whole life, you pay a LOT MORE for the same amount of insurance (the risk incurred by the insurer) but the insurance company has the same level of risk. Now if you are a good stooge and pay way to much for way to long, they will then give you some of your money back some day. In the interim they invest your money at market rates of 10-15% returns. So they make that interest, they hold your money and they tell you how great it is that they will give some back.
If you like that how about this. Go get 100,000 dollars, send it to me and I will hold it for you, I will even pay out 2% interest on it. Twenty years from now you can have your 100K back, plus 2% interest per year or you can just let me keep holding it until you die. When you die, I will give the money to who ever you tell me do. Sound like a good deal to you? Of course not! Oh and yea if you ever need the money I will loan your own money to you and you can just pay it back with a bit of interest. Sound like a scam? It’s not you just pay in your 100K in installments and they call it whole life!
So here is what you do, buy the insurance you need on 20 year level term and invest the rest of the money in good solid investments. You make the 7, 10, 12 or 15% depending on your risk tolerance and ability, you retain the ownership and control of your money. If you die in the interim your loved ones are covered, if you live till the end of the term and have invested well then you should not need as much insurance. Perhaps you might buy a bit less for say 10 years and by then if you still need insurance you have done something very wrong.
Don’t let the insurance guy tell you how hard it is for a 70 year old to get insurance! At 70 you don’t need life insurance if you have done a good job of saving and investing. You are not leaving behind a young wife and 3 kids, you just need to be buried. If you can’t save enough money to get yourself put in an box and under six feet of dirt in 70 odd years something is drastically wrong.
I won’t be writing on this subject very often as it is pretty well known and accepted by most good financial professionals today. I just wanted to get it out right away because it is a huge mistake often made by young people who end up in front of a well trained but undereducated insurance agent.
Filed under Personal & Home | Comment (0)